Still hoping for an ALP victory.
Been really interesting to follow the last Australian Parliament more closely than I've probably ever followed any other country's political fortunes.
Not so long ago it seemed an ALP landslide was on the cards. Abbott was widely portrayed as someone who would not have a chance as the Liberal Leader but he has done better than most would have expected.
From this distance it is hard to be sure what will happen (I was pretty accurate with regards to the last British election). I expect the ALP to win and Julia Gillard to continue as PM. My one fear (discounting any last minute surprises) is that the swing in marginal seats in New South Wales and Queensland could favour the Coalition parties more than the overall national swing. Polling evidence has suggested that might be the case.
Some problems aside (e.g. problems with home insulation, Rudd's perceived arrogance) I think the ALP do deserve to win not least for avoiding a recession, but I will be very interested to see exactly what does happen.
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